For people who claim they can see the future and make predictions you need to laugh them off. For that is hard to predict over the long term. Short term guesses in less than a year are a lot easier but here's an excerpt from NY Times best seller Adam Grant who lauds how the Kansas City Star in Missouri rejected a cartoonist named Walt Disney for a job. 30 NFL teams passed up Tom Brady the best NFL player of all time and record labels said no to Kayne, Ed Sheeran, The Beatles, and Madonna just to name a few...
"For decades, managers have bet on the wrong people — and rejected the right ones. The Kansas City Star once rejected an application from a cartoonist named Walt Disney. Record labels said no thanks to the Beatles, Madonna, U2, Kanye and Ed Sheeran. A hotel, a police department and a Kentucky Fried Chicken all denied Jack Ma a job. And 30 N.F.L. teams decided not to draft Tom Brady."
For hiring advice and hiring the best people read this scientific study:
A META-ANALYSIS OF WORK SAMPLE TEST VALIDITY: UPDATING AND INTEGRATING SOME CLASSIC LITERATURE
"Work sample tests have been used in applied psychology for decades as important predictors of job performance, and they have been suggested to be among the most valid predictors of job performance."
Read the whole research paper here & the New York Times Adam Grant piece here: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/01/smarter-living/how-to-fix-job-interviews-tips.html