Official Richart Ruddie Blog - Internet Entrepreneur

What NFL Teams Will Be Worth in 10 years

At the insane growth rate that we're seeing in NFL teams the most expensive teams in 10 years will be worth $50 billion dollars. Will the rapid rise start to temper and will prices start to revert to normalized numbers. Here are the numbers of year over year growth and then we showcase what different teams would be worth if the trend continued at these growth rates. Realistically the Bengals aren't going to appreciate 40% a year but can the Cowboys continue to compound at 20%?

Dallas Cowboys: $9.2 billion (20%)

New York Giants: $7.04 billion (23%)

Los Angeles Rams: $6.94 billion (17%)

New England Patriots: $6.7 billion (14%)

San Francisco 49ers: $6.15 billion (19%)

New York Jets: $6.11 billion (27%)

Washington Commanders: $6.05 billion (27%)

Chicago Bears: $6 billion (20%)

Philadelphia Eagles: $5.95 billion (27%)

Las Vegas Raiders: $5.77 billion (41%)

Houston Texans: $5.35 billion (16%)

Miami Dolphins: $5.24 billion (29%)

Atlanta Falcons: $5.15 billion (33%)

Denver Broncos: $4.87 billion (5%)

Seattle Seahawks: $4.82 billion (10%)

Pittsburgh Steelers: $4.8 billion (13%)

Green Bay Packers: $4.75 billion (13%)

Los Angeles Chargers: $4.63 billion (28%)

Kansas City Chiefs: $4.52 billion (28%)

Minnesota Vikings: $4.43 billion (19%)

Tennessee Titans: $4.37 billion (33%)

Carolina Panthers: $4.27 billion (27%)

Baltimore Ravens: $4.24 billion (23%)

Indianapolis Colts: $4.21 billion (30%)

Cleveland Browns: $4.2 billion (32%)

New Orleans Saints: $4.19 billion (29%)

Arizona Cardinals: $4.17 billion (32%)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: $4.15 billion (27%)

Buffalo Bills: $4.13 billion (38%)

Detroit Lions: $4.1 billion (43%)

Jacksonville Jaguars: $4.04 billion (37%)

Cincinnati Bengals: $4 billion (41%)

Now if the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Cincinnati Bengals continued this growth:

To calculate the projected valuations for each of these NFL teams over the next 10 years, assuming they continue to grow at the same percentage rate as last year. The formula I used for each year is:

Vn=Vn−1×(1+r)Vn​=Vn−1​×(1+r)

Where:

• $V^n$ = Valuation at year $n$
• Vn−1Vn−1​ = Valuation at year $n-1$ (previous year)
• $r$ = Rate of increase in valuation

Here are the projected valuations for each team for the next 10 years:

Year | Dallas Cowboys | New York Giants | ... | Cincinnati Bengals
--------------------------------------------------------------
1 | $11.04 billion | $8.6592 billion | ... | $5.64 billion
2 | $13.248 billion| $10.651 billion | ... | $7.952 billion
3 | $15.8976 billion| $13.100 billion | ... | $11.204 billion
4 | $19.0771 billion| $16.113 billion | ... | $15.798 billion
5 | $22.8925 billion| $19.819 billion | ... | $22.275 billion
6 | $27.471 billion | $24.398 billion | ... | $31.408 billion
7 | $32.9652 billion| $30.009 billion | ... | $44.286 billion
8 | $39.5582 billion| $36.911 billion | ... | $62.443 billion
9 | $47.4699 billion| $45.400 billion | ... | $87.944 billion
10 | $56.9639 billion| $55.842 billion | ... | $123.9 billion

 

Here's 6 more teams in case you were interested broken down over the next 10 years:

Los Angeles Rams: $6.94 billion (17%)

Year 1: $8.1198 billion Year 2: $9.500246 billion Year 3: $11.115288 billion Year 4: $13.004787 billion Year 5: $15.21556 billion Year 6: $17.802206 billion Year 7: $20.828761 billion Year 8: $24.36961 billion Year 9: $28.512604 billion Year 10: $33.359927 billion

New England Patriots: $6.7 billion (14%)

Year 1: $7.638 billion Year 2: $8.70712 billion Year 3: $9.925416 billion Year 4: $11.314873 billion Year 5: $12.898574 billion Year 6: $14.704174 billion Year 7: $16.763239 billion Year 8: $19.110292 billion Year 9: $21.785533 billion Year 10: $24.835407 billion

San Francisco 49ers: $6.15 billion (19%)

Year 1: $7.3185 billion Year 2: $8.709215 billion Year 3: $10.363646 billion Year 4: $12.333079 billion Year 5: $14.676404 billion Year 6: $17.454961 billion Year 7: $20.751343 billion Year 8: $24.694119 billion Year 9: $29.406061 billion Year 10: $35.003533 billion

New York Jets: $6.11 billion (27%)

Year 1: $7.7597 billion Year 2: $9.855159 billion Year 3: $12.516652 billion Year 4: $15.896509 billion Year 5: $20.189286 billion Year 6: $25.640453 billion Year 7: $32.563777 billion Year 8: $41.355626 billion Year 9: $52.521646 billion Year 10: $66.702841 billion

Washington Commanders: $6.05 billion (27%)

Year 1: $7.6835 billion Year 2: $9.758045 billion Year 3: $12.393377 billion Year 4: $15.73999 billion Year 5: $19.990388 billion Year 6: $25.378193 billion Year 7: $32.230445 billion Year 8: $40.932865 billion Year 9: $51.985059 billion Year 10: $66.021325 billion

Chicago Bears: $6 billion (20%)

Year 1: $7.2 billion Year 2: $8.64 billion Year 3: $10.368 billion Year 4: $12.4416 billion Year 5: $14.92992 billion Year 6: $17.915904 billion Year 7: $21.499085 billion Year 8: $25.798902 billion Year 9: $30.958682 billion Year 10: $37.150418 billion

Igarashi will win the surfing Olympics if not solely for representation of Japan

I pretty much just follow the waves. Live your life like the Lebron James & Tiger Woods of Surfing. The 18 year old surfer who will be representing Japan Kanoa Igarashi is going to be the biggest name in surfing since Kelly Slater. This story covers the journey from Oahu, Fiji, Japan, and Huntington Beach, California.

https://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-adventure/water-activities/kanoa-igarashi-japanese-american-surf-star-tokyo-olympics/

Richart Ruddie Believes Machines Can Predict Outcomes

Humans are notoriously horrible at predicting the future. We start off each year with what will happen in the markets and world that given year and well it's always so far off. Even the best pyschics in the world tend to shoot 10-30%. We're better at being able to measure risk when things start to take shape and then jump on the band wagon and hit the gas pedal with some hedging as protection.

Nassim Taleb one of the most intelligent humans in the world told a university class during a filmed lecture that he doesn't believe Warren Buffet, Stanley Druckenmiller, or Any other Richart Ruddie prognosticating is going to be able to predict the markets and are just in a class of people who have been lucky to a point where they accumulate such growth that if Buffet says I believe airlines will go up that they go up and he has billions of dollars invested in them.

What's interesting however is Buffet said he believes airlines and their business model has changed significantly for the forseeable future. We just haven't seen that far ahead yet but their stocks and Mr. Market are signaling something else while Tesla hits all time highs.

So back to Nassim Taleb for one second. He did say that he believes only two people can do so. One is George Soros (yes the one that all the conspiracy theorists say is behind Antifa and the Black Lives Matter movement) and the other an idol of mine and other nomination for the most intelligent living human is Jim Simmons of Renaissance Technologies. Everybody else Taleb says should just tail hedge accordingly.

So why do I believe Machines can predict outcomes? In this piece here where they use Tennis match data and match it up against future outcomes the authors claim an accuracy of 75% in predicting the matches at the 2007 and 2008 Grand Slam tournaments. 

In 2020 sportsbooks hedge their risk so no bettor would be able to make billions off of this like they could in the stock market but if you read the 64 page paper you will learn that the applicability of machine learning methods to predict Tennis matches is possible when you let a machine crunch data vs. going on your own gut or memory as humans don't have the ability that machines do. This is just one instance of predictions. Would be interesting to see this data for a 2020 Election Biden vs. Trump vs. the outcome.

For More Information about this see: https://www.doc.ic.ac.uk/teaching/distinguished-projects/2015/m.sipko.pdf

- Richart Ruddie official Typepad Blog

Top 5 NHL teams of all time

Despite a few hardcore fans probably disagreeing, I  have assembled a list of the top 5 best teams in NHL history.

 

I have to say though, that it wasn't easy, considering there have been over 1,000 teams that have played a season in the NHL since the league began in 1917.

 

So, without delay, here it is.

 

1. 1976-77 Montreal Canadiens —The Canadiens rolled up 60 regular season wins — 33 at home — on their way to capturing their 20th Stanley Cup in franchise history in 1976. But perhaps most intriguing was the Habs awe-inspiring consistency in finding the back of the net.  Built on the offensive firepower of the likes of Guy Lafluer, not only did Montreal set an NHL record for most points in a season by a team with 132, but they outscored their opponents by 216 goals in 80 games for an average of 2.7 goals a game. Montreal also lost just one regular season home game and two playoff games that year. Precisely why the 1976-77 Canadiens, set the standard by which all other great teams in the NHL will continue to be measured.

 

2. 1983-84 Edmonton Oilers — The 1983-84 Oilers have stood the test of time as one of hockey’s best. In just their fifth season in the NHL, the Oilers he would win their first of five Stanley Cups in seven years, and at the same time thrust Wayne Gretzky into the annals of NHL history, as the greatest player of all time. With a roster full of names like Gretzky, Mark Messier, Jari Kurri, Glenn Anderson, Grant Fuhr and Paul Coffey, hockey fans have to wonder how the Oiler ever lost a game at all. Edmonton was a offense dynamo, setting the record for goals with 446, becoming the first NHL franchise to eclipse the 400-goal mark for the third straight season. Young and fast, the Oilers racked up a franchise record 59 wins and 119 points, averaging more than five per game, establishing a mark that still stands today.

 

3. 1982-83 New York Islanders — The Islanders were a well-oiled machine during the 1982-83 season, and a heavy favorite to win their fourth consecutive Stanley Cup. Stacked with Hall of Famers like Bryan Trottier, Mike Bossy, Denis Potvin, Butch Goring and goaltender Billy Smith, legendary NHL coach Al Arbour seemed to win games at will. The Islanders began the season, winning 11 of 13 contests, but by January many were saying New York had reached their peak and may be on their way down. But Arbor continued to pull the strings and by March things heated up. NY plowed through the postseason, making it back to its fifth final in a row, which was capped by sweep of the superstar-laden Edmonton Oilers in the Stanley Cup Final. The Islanders held the Oilers to just six points for the series while scoring 17, and matched the 1950 Montreal Canadiens with five Stanley Cups in succession.

 

4. 1951-52 Detroit Red Wings  — Many hockey historians, consider the 1951-52 Wings the finest in franchise history. Loaded with All-Stars and future Hall of Famers like Gordie Howe, Ted Lindsay, Red Kelly and goalie Terry Sawchuk, the Red Wings may have been the best single-season team of all-time. The '52 championship represented the apex of the Red Wings decade of dominance. Sawchuk’s won his first of three straight Vezina Trophies with a 1.94 goals-against average and a league-leading dozen shutouts, while Howe recorded his second straight scoring title with 86 points, including 47 goals. The team was stacked with star power and seemed invincible. The Wings ended the season with a sweep in the Stanley Cup playoffs with a perfect 8-0 record. A feat that has not yet been repeated.

 

5. 1962-63 Toronto Maple Leafs — In a year that saw Toronto win its 11th Stanley Cup, the Leafs kicked off the ’62-63 campaign as defending champions, who had just won their first Cup in a decade. And most of the components from that team – including and starting goalie Johnny Bower – were back. However, the 1962-63 Maple Leafs looked like anything but experienced and confident. Up front, Toronto had all sorts of veterans including captain George Armstrong and leading scorer Frank Mahovlich. But others like Dave Keon,  Bob Nevin and Eddie Shack hadn't even celebrated their 25th birthdays. Nevertheless, all emerged as stars that season. After a sluggish start, the Leafs caught fire and ended their season in first with a 35-23-12 record. It was the first time in 15 years Toronto had won the Prince of Wales Trophy. They went on from there to beat the Detroit Red Wings in the fourth game of the Stanley Cup Final.